Predictions

If Starmer is replaced, an Andy Burnham-style 'change' candidate from outside the cabinet is the most credible internal Labour pick — analogous to Boris Johnson succeeding Theresa May.

“The only one really who can, I think, credibly say change is probably Andy Burnham... maybe in that story, it's an Andy Burnham figure who isn't in Parliament, who's a mayor like Boris Johnson was a mayor, coming to that.”

On the current trajectory, Nigel Farage and Reform UK are positioned to win the next UK general election, with Labour collapsing and the Tories also failing.

“If I were to be had a gun to my head, who's gonna win the next general election, on the current trajectory, I might point to Nigel Farage. Equally, I can see lots of ways that he can be brought down.”

Keir Starmer will survive the cabinet pressure today and remain Prime Minister through the immediate confidence crisis — he'll 'Joe Biden it' rather than step down now.

“Yeah, I think he'll definitely be prime minister by the end of the day. I think he's gonna Joe Biden it. I just think the problem is we're so clearly now into the when is he gonna go, not if he's gonna go.”

If Starmer falls, Wes Streeting is the leadership contender best positioned to satisfy bond markets and emerge as the next UK PM, given his growth-focused agenda versus Rayner's tax-hike pitch or Burnham's public-ownership instincts.

“The bond markets wouldn't like Rayner and they wouldn't like Burnham, but Streeting might get through... the bond markets are gonna be happier with Streeting's ideas for growth.”

The Trump DOJ's investigations into figures like Jerome Powell are intimidation theater; they will not actually charge or convict the Federal Reserve chair.

“They don't, they don't expect to charge or convict, uh, the chair of the Federal Reserve. They, they don't care. Right? ... The process is their weapon.”

The Supreme Court is likely to duck the merits of Louisiana's challenge to FDA telehealth/mail-order mifepristone rules by ruling Louisiana lacks standing, so no nationwide restrictions on mail-order mifepristone will take effect in the immediate term.

“It's very possible that, you know, once again, they sort of duck the heart of the issue on abortion, on federal power versus state power, and they just say, 'Nah, you don't have standing.'”

NPR's Tamara Keith notes that observers expect China may announce additional Boeing aircraft purchases during Trump's Beijing visit this week, though she caveats that announced agreements on Trump foreign trips often turn out to be less than meets the eye.

“Observers expect China to announce purchases of additional soybeans and other farm products, and maybe even Boeing airplanes... More than a dozen big name corporate executives are traveling as part of the US delegation, including Apple's Tim Cook, Tesla's Elon Musk, and Kelly Ortberg, the CEO of Boeing.”

NPR's Tamara Keith reports that observers expect China to announce additional purchases of U.S. soybeans and other farm products during Trump's state visit to Beijing this week.

“Observers expect China to announce purchases of additional soybeans and other farm products, and maybe even Boeing airplanes. Announcing big purchase agreements is a trademark of Trump foreign trips, but these things have often turned out to be less than meets the eye.”

NPR's Scott Horsley predicts the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at its next meeting, since the April jobs report showed no labor-market deterioration and the Fed has limited ability to address an energy supply shock.

“We might see a rate cut if it looked as if the job market were falling apart, but the jobs report we got last week showed no sign of that... So for now, I think the Fed is likely to just keep interest rates steady where they are.”

Donald Trump will publicly announce Chinese commitments to purchase U.S. soybeans/agricultural products during his China trip.

“China will likely promise to increase purchases of American agricultural products and Boeing aircraft as a result of the Trump-Xi summit.”

Donald Trump will publicly announce Chinese commitments to purchase Boeing aircraft during his China trip.

“China will likely promise to increase purchases of American agricultural products and Boeing aircraft as a result of the Trump-Xi summit.”

The Federal Reserve will not reduce interest rates due to the economic fallout from the Iran conflict.

“interest rates will not be reduced due to the economic fallout and debt increases from the ongoing conflict”

The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at its June 2026 meeting following the high inflation report.

“investors started the year talking about potential rate cuts by the Fed, and this report pretty much takes that all off the table.”

The Detroit Pistons will win their playoff series against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

“For me personally, listen, I'm still buying the Pistons because I think that on their home turf they're a different beast to deal with.”

The Cleveland Cavaliers will win their playoff series against the Detroit Pistons.

“Cam, I'm, I'm gonna go with Cleveland here. Like I said earlier when we picked who I thought was gonna win the series, I think, I think people are starting to figure out Cade Cunningham and all the styles in which they have, and Detroit looks tired.”

The Detroit Pistons will defeat the Cleveland Cavaliers to win their current playoff series.

“Right now I'm still going with the Pistons. Everybody did what they're supposed to do. Nobody has won on the road yet, so I'm still going with the Pistons.”

SpaceX will hold an initial public offering in June.

“SpaceX is of course preparing to go public with one of the largest IPO offerings in June.”

The Oklahoma City Thunder will sweep the Los Angeles Lakers in four games.

“they're gonna steamroll the Lakers, four games, and then, um, I don't know. They, the, the playoffs don't start for the Thunder until the conference finals.”

The Detroit Pistons will win their playoff series against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

“I would take the Pistons in this series, but I, I, I'm, I'm down for James Harden to maybe get into a game six or seven.”

The Memphis Grizzlies will select Cam Boozer with the third overall pick in the NBA Draft.

“If you put my head on a guillotine today, I'd tell you they take Boozer, but I wanna watch this whole thing play out.”

The New York Knicks and Detroit Pistons will meet in the Eastern Conference Finals.

“I think it will eventually be New York and Detroit, and go look at those games this year. Detroit pumped them out.”

AJ Dybantsa will be drafted first overall, and Darryn Peterson will be drafted second overall by the Utah Jazz.

“I think the expectation is is that, right? That Banso will go one, Peterson will go two, because they don't need a four in Utah.”

The Sacramento Kings will trade up to the number five pick to draft Darius Acuff.

“I think they're gonna try to trade up. I think they're gonna try to get to five and get Acuff. I really do.”

The Boston Celtics are the favorites to acquire Giannis Antetokounmpo in a trade.

“I would say the Celtics are probably, probably the favorite at this point to get Giannis, unless Dallas got aggressive.”

The Washington Wizards will select AJ Dybantsa with the number one overall pick in the NBA Draft.

“The Wizards are not calling anybody, Tate... The Wizards' phone is sitting here waiting. Yeah, they're taking AJ”

It is a certainty Keir Starmer cannot win the next general election; the only question is when, not if, Labour replaces him.

“If like me you believe it's a certainty that Keir Starmer can't win the next election, a certainty, I mean, the guy's net popularity rating is hovering around minus fifty.”

Trump will not back a federal abortion ban; his administration is sticking with a states-only framework despite anti-abortion lobbying from groups like Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America.

“When Marjorie went to Trump and said, 'Hey, we need federal action. I need you to get on board,' the answer that she got was, 'No, this issue is killing us.'”

China will NOT announce acceptance of imported Nvidia H200 chips during the Trump-Xi summit.

“China will not announce the acceptance of imported Nvidia H200 chips during the upcoming Trump-Xi summit.”

Democrats will take control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterms despite Republican redistricting gains.

“Democrats won the House popular vote by eight in 2018. So if we're thinking and hoping and expecting this cycle to be better than 2018, then we should have no problem in the House.”

The New York Knicks will win their next playoff series, benefiting from their extended rest period.

“I think ultimately, you know, the way these playoffs have been kind of every other night... the accumulation of games and the miles on the odometer of the other teams are gonna be too much for them to overcome... I think they take care of business.”

If the Montreal Canadiens take a 3-1 series lead, they will successfully close out the series against the Buffalo Sabres.

“if Montreal takes a 3-1 series lead, there's, I, I think they're gonna close that thing out and they're, they're gonna move on to Car- play Carolina.”

LeBron James will retire or leave the Lakers, making this his final game for the franchise.

“I think the golfing, the golf bug might have convinced LeBron James to, to forgo another full year in the NBA... This is his last game for the Lakers.”

The Detroit Pistons will defeat the Cleveland Cavaliers in five games in their playoff series.

“I do not believe the Cavaliers are gonna beat the Pistons. I, I just- I, I, I have Detroit in, uh, five. I think they win game four and game five.”